In the Know


Navigating Opportunities in Today's Real Estate Market

Good Day,

I hope this message finds you well and enjoying a wonderful Easter weekend with your loved ones. As we celebrate this special time, I wanted to take a moment to update you on the current state of the real estate market and provide you with some valuable insights that can help guide your decisions.

Looking back at 2023 and into 2024, we've experienced a real estate landscape filled with challenges and opportunities. I want to give you a clear picture of what's been happening and how it might affect your real estate journey.

Last year, we saw a shift in the market due to higher interest rates, which impacted existing home sales nationwide. However, the new home market remained strong, offering incentives and options that attracted buyers and kept construction projects active.

Moving into this year, we've faced economic shifts and market volatility, but national home builders have adapted by focusing on the new home market. Here in Southwest Florida, construction activity has remained resilient, especially in single-family homes and multi-family units.

Affordability concerns have been a challenge, particularly for local buyers. This has led to opportunities for national builders to create more affordable options, such as townhomes in certain areas.

Looking ahead, we anticipate some adjustments in pricing as interest rates continue to influence the market. However, Southwest Florida remains an attractive destination for new residents, with certain areas like Charlotte County gaining popularity due to lower costs.

I want to assure you that despite these challenges, there are still great opportunities in the real estate market. It's essential to stay informed and proactive in your approach. My team is here to provide you with the latest market trends and insights to help you make informed decisions.

As we celebrate Easter, I extend warm wishes to you and your family for a joyful and rejuvenating weekend. May it be filled with happiness, laughter, and cherished moments.

Thank you for choosing me as your real estate partner. Let's continue working together to achieve your real estate goals and seize the opportunities that lie ahead.

Warm regards,

Alexander

P.S.

DID YOU KNOW? America’s "snowballing debt"—at $34 trillion and counting—is putting the US on course to end up in a crisis reminiscent of Japan's lost decade, and Washington cannot take for granted the notion that investors will continue to fund its fiscal deficit forever, warns BlackRock CEO Larry Fink. That would impact everything related to housing too, BTW...

DID YOU KNOW? Can you inflate your way out of debt? Inflation can be a tool to decrease the real value of outstanding debt over time. Imagine if you owe $1 million today and that is 'worth' $1 million of buying power today....but 20 years from now - at 3% annual inflation - you would need over $1,8million to buy the same thing that you can buy today for $1 million..... this can be applied to debt. 20 years from now - at 3% inflation - $1million worth of debt could 'feel like/buy' close to half of what you can buy today....

DID YOU KNOW? Over the past 10 years the dollar has strengthened against the Euro by about 22%. And in the past 5 years by roughly 4.5%. Follow the future EUR/USD outlook here.

DID YOU KNOW? The US economy grew 3.4% in the 4th quarter of 2023, an upgrade from previous estimates, as consumer spending and nonresidential fixed investment were revised higher. (FT)

DID YOU KNOW?  Yes, if Bentley and Aston Martin can do it, why not Mercedes? The first branded residence by automaker Mercedes-Benz in the world is coming to Dubai, a collaboration between the luxury car maker and Emirati property developer Binghatti, featuring a distinctive bullet-shape facade. Towering over 1,000ft above the scenic Dubai Water Canal, the 65-story building includes 150 apartments and penthouses. Branded residences? Dubai has 103, London, 20 and Panama has 5. (MANSION)

We’re the opposite of other luxury groups. The others have beautiful brands and I admire them, of course, but they are going more in the way of entertainment: We’re more focused on the product.
— Renzo Rosso, OTB (FT)

DID YOU KNOW? China has an excess of solar power components, EVs and lithium-ion batteries, allowing it to export those products at cheaper prices to markets around the world..... a perfect reminder that imports from other parts can lower prices, while making things locally costs more (good for employment, not so good for inflation!) Do we want to make things locally and pay more or do we want prices to come down? Not easy..... (CNBC)

DID YOU KNOW? Commercial property values have fallen 21% on average since the Fed began raising interest rates two years ago.....most of those buying up 'bargains' are family offices/private investors who often make the boldest steps first....and get the best buys, not only price-wise, but they also have more choice. They tend to own assets for longer and are more focused on creating generational wealth than hitting strict return hurdles like larger institutional investors. (WSJ)

DID YOU KNOW? Florida's once-thriving condominium market is facing a crisis as high insurance rates, homeowners' association fees, and interest rates deter buyers, leading to a surge in listings and declining prices across major markets like Tampa, Miami, Orlando, and Jacksonville. According to a recent Redfin report, pending sales are significantly down compared to a year ago, indicating a sharp decline in demand and a loss of appeal for Florida condos among prospective buyers. (Yahoo Finance)

DID YOU KNOW?  The first quarter of 2024 draws to a close today....and yes, we are still standing tall! While wars rage, inflation remains sticky although sharply down from a year ago, the DOW is up over 5.5% in just 3 months, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are up close to 11%! Bitcoin is up 65%.... yes, those invested in the markets are doing extremely well.

 

NEW—Technical Analysis

This Week’s Forecast Update — US 10 Year Yields

Dive into the future with my new free Technical Analysis category, where I project the course of the S&P 500, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields and the EUR/USD exchange rates using the Elliot Wave principle and Fibonacci price and time techniques. Understanding the upcoming price cycle is not just crucial for investors; it's a game-changer for real estate and capital market enthusiasts alike. Explore the analysis for exclusive insights that could shape your investment strategies. Click [here] to delve into the latest projections now!

Data You Should Be Tracking

Connect with me here to receive your neighborhood specific stats

All Listings for Sale in Collier County (last 15 weeks)

 

Prestigious New Listings

1385 Great Egret Trail, Naples, FL 3410

5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | $10,850,000

Welcome to 1385 Great Egret Trail, welcome to perfection! This custom estate located in the exclusive gated community of Estuary at Grey Oaks is a classic Santa Barbara-inspired masterpiece residing on a panoramic private lake and golf view homesite. The nearly 9,000 square feet of opulent living includes five bedrooms, five full and two half-baths, a theater, a game room, a loft, a home gym, and dual offices. The heart of the home is highlighted by the grand living and dining room with a soaring pecky cypress beamed ceiling flanked on each end by natural gas hand-carved stone fireplaces. This custom estate has immense detail sourced from around the world and is being offered furnished.


16643 Cortona Ln, Naples, FL 34110

3.5 Bed | 3.5 Bath | $2,745,000

This home is truly magical! Designed by nationally recognized architect Mark Schuerer, you are transported to the northern coast of Italy with layered views through the courtyards and the outdoor living area, as it wraps around the pool connecting the indoor and outdoor spaces throughout the home. The architecture is thoughtful with a bright, open kitchen and great room spaces while the bedrooms remain private. Located in Mediterra, an award-winning private club with a commitment to excellence.


1979 Mustique St, Naples, FL 34120

4 Bed | 3 Bath | $1,250,000

Simple elegance within this stunning TURNKEY FURNISHED 4 bedroom, 3 bath, pool home. Granite counters with shaker cabinetry complete the gourmet style kitchen complete with a natural gas cooktop and a modern design open to the spacious great room with formal dining area providing ample room for entertaining. LaMorada, is a WCI community located in North Naples. Clubhouse amenities incude a resort style pool & spa, poolside bar with light dining options, movie theater, fitness, yoga, culinary arts studio, pickleball, tennis, and bocce.


6034 National Blvd, Unit 543, Ave Maria, FL 34142

2 Bed | 2 Bath | $285,000

Best deal by far ! Tastefully decorated ! Beautiful with expansive and breathtaking views ! of the sunset golf course, preserve and, water views in all of Ave Maria! Planned amenities: resort-style pool, restaurant & fitness center. Local Ave Maria amenities: North & South Parks, water park, Ave Maria University events, local dining, shopping + much more. Ave Maria is a short driving distance to many other area amenities, community events, local beaches, nature preserves. Live the Florida lifestyle in Ave Maria, the fastest growing community in SW Florida!

 

Featured Global Listings

80265 Via Pontito, La Quinta, CA 92253

3.5 Bed | 3.5 Bath | $2,995,000

Best south views on this Plan 2 Villa at the Hideaway! Three bedroom, three and a half baths. Approx. 2,883 sq. ft. on large .30 acre lot. Features courtyard entry with fountain. Great room concept with fireplace, media, bar and stainless kitchen with island / counter bar and breakfast nook. A wonderful private location near end of cul-de-sac with spectacular views, of lake, green belt, mountains and the 4th fairway of the Clive Clark course. Offered furnished per inventory. Hideaway membership is mandatory and separate with sale.


635 W 42nd St, Unit 41H, Hell's Kitchen, NY 10036

2 Bed | 2 Bath | $1,695,000

Welcome home to Apt 41H at the Atelier, a generously proportioned and move-in ready high-floor 1-bedroom apartment with unparalleled views. Continue into the main living space and be immediately awestruck by the south/west exposure, which provides for abundant light and gorgeous sunsets over the Hudson River. The large living space includes a custom lacquered rift oak workstation, which was intelligently designed and seamlessly integrated into the room. It comfortably fits two work setups and has plenty of storage above – perfect for working from home.


The Luxury Division

Welcome to the $30 Million Club: Compass’ Top Sales

Embark on a journey of unparalleled luxury and architectural grandeur as we present our exclusive collection of Compass-represented sales that fetched a price of $30 million or more. From sleek penthouses to sprawling estates, with sale prices reaching a soaring $112.5 million, join us in this celebration of the remarkable success Compass agents achieved in luxury real estate last year.

 

Architecture + Design

Fine Living Meets Fine Art

In celebration of the prestigious Art Basel event in Miami Beach this December, we are delighted to present this collection of luxury properties that seamlessly blend the worlds of sophisticated living and artistic expression. Art Basel stands as a global stage for the most influential galleries and artists, drawing collectors from across the globe. Our exclusive collection mirrors this ethos, showcasing homes that not only serve as exquisite living spaces but also as dynamic canvases fit for the most discerning art collectors. Immerse yourself in a fusion of luxury real estate and artistic excellence, where each property is a testament to the seamless integration of fine living and fine art.

 

See you next time.

Alexander Mayr

Broker Associate at COMPASS Naples

Serving Naples, Miami, Sarasota, Atlanta, New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Chicago

Alexander Mayr

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